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Good morning, old irons, I am your red fire! Investment has logic, trading has methods, here is the logic and actual combat you want most!3. From September to December, MACD crosses the 0 axis from underwater, which is a signal that the trend turns from weak to strong;Now the market pricing power is still in the hands of hot money+quantification+retail investors. Hot money pulls demon stocks, robots, AI and other themes every day, and it's fun to play; Quantifying the direction of pulling small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks every day also earns a lot of money. The institution is very embarrassed, and it is still in the negative cycle of locking up-redemption-selling to deal with redemption-continuing to lock up. Occasionally, one day, the institutions will explode and usher in a greater redemption. They can only continue to sell and bear the stigma of smashing the plate.

If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:

Now the market pricing power is still in the hands of hot money+quantification+retail investors. Hot money pulls demon stocks, robots, AI and other themes every day, and it's fun to play; Quantifying the direction of pulling small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks every day also earns a lot of money. The institution is very embarrassed, and it is still in the negative cycle of locking up-redemption-selling to deal with redemption-continuing to lock up. Occasionally, one day, the institutions will explode and usher in a greater redemption. They can only continue to sell and bear the stigma of smashing the plate.Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.